Friday, November 22, 2019

REBGV: November, 2019 Total Inventory Projections


This is hardly what many have expected during a sizzling 12-month period of record high housing completions in Greater Vancouver.  But it became evident when New Listings continued to struggle all year that this could very much happen.  We are now seeing about 2,000 inventory drop year-over-year.  What the market has shown this year is the ability to absorb the record high housing constructions and completions.  With Total Inventory expected to tank under 10,000 for the first time since April, 2018, there is trepidation building among the potential buyers as to whether they may have missed the bottom.  I personally do not believe this and I do not expect a price recovery soon.  But the low Total Inventory adds a level of intrigue in a market that is in a transition period.

Thursday, November 21, 2019

REBGV November, 2019: Sales Projections


Sales projections show that total sales in October appear to be a blip in the radar.  The general trend over the last 5 months does not show sales recovery but stability.  The sales over the last 5 months remain well within the typical 10-year norm and I do not expect any major change to this trend in December or January.  February sales will be key in determining what kind of spring we should expect to see.

Annual Total Sales Projection: 2019 Sales expected to exceed 2018 Sales.